The aim of this study was to estimate the likely effect of reduced tra
vel speeds on the incidence of pedestrian fatalities in Adelaide, Aust
ralia. The study was based on the results of detailed investigations o
f 176 fatal pedestrian crashes in the Adelaide area between 1983 and 1
991. The method developed to estimate the effect of reduced travelling
speed is described and supported by references to the published liter
ature. A reduction in the speed limit from 60 to 50 km/h was one of fo
ur speed reduction scenarios considered. The smallest estimated reduct
ion in fatal pedestrian collisions in the selection presented was 13%,
for a scenario in which all drivers obeyed the existing speed limit.
The largest estimated reduction was 48% for a scenario in which all dr
ivers were travelling 10 km/h slower. The estimated reductions in fata
lities obtained in this study are compared with those observed in plac
es where the urban area speed limit has been lowered. (C) 1997 Elsevie
r Science Ltd.