The inverse problem of estimating the conductivity function from head
observations is generally ill posed: Many conductivity functions are c
onsistent with the data. It is widely accepted now that a well-defined
estimate can be obtained only if additional information about the fun
ction structure is introduced into the problem formulation. This work
presents a method to obtain a stable and reasonable estimate that util
izes only the data and the flow or transport model with the minimum po
ssible suppositions about the unknown function or its structure. The m
otivation is to develop a solution that has only characteristics that
are traced directly to the data and the flow or transport model, witho
ut taking advantage of spatial continuity or other ''prior information
.'' The solution is obtained by minimizing the upper bound to the erro
r, or, in a stochastic conceptual framework, as the most likely soluti
on given the data. This solution, although generally not the most accu
rate since it neglects to utilize structural information that may be a
vailable, is of fundamental importance and may be useful as a benchmar
k. For example, by comparing this solution with other solutions, one c
an become aware of how prior information or the model of spatial struc
ture affects the solution to the inverse problem.