J. Douglas et S. Bartley, RISK PREMIA IN AUSTRALIAN INTEREST-RATES, AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL AND RESOURCE ECONOMICS, 41(2), 1997, pp. 227-261
The level of and movements in interest rates and the exchange rate can
have a substantial impact on the economic performance of Australia's
primary industries. Whether a country and/or exchange risk premium has
resulted in higher interest rates and increased volatility in the exc
hange rate is therefore important to these industries. There is some e
vidence that a small country risk premium may have emerged during the
early 1990s. In line with earlier studies, however, no evidence was fo
und of such a premium during the 1980s. A further finding is that any
exchange risk premium may have declined over the last decade or so. Po
ssible links between risk premia and Australia's foreign debt and curr
ent account deficits are also examined.