Ec. Waters et al., INTERREGIONAL EFFECTS OF REDUCED TIMBER HARVESTS - THE IMPACT OF THE NORTHERN SPOTTED OWL LISTING IN RURAL AND URBAN OREGON, Journal of agricultural and resource economics, 19(1), 1994, pp. 141-160
A core-periphery, multiregional, input-output model of western Oregon
is used to estimate impacts of periphery timber harvest reductions res
ulting from listing of an endangered species. Under the most probable
scenario, 31,620 total jobs would be lost in the two regions. Fourteen
percent of this impact is absorbed in the core (Metro) region. Forty
percent of periphery and 80% of Metro jobs lost are from service secto
rs, a result of important core-periphery trade in central place servic
es. Explicit inclusion of unemployment benefits for displaced workers
reduces employment loss estimates by 12% to 14%.