Background and Purpose No prospective studies have examined the rate o
f symptomatic ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke in patients with subcorti
cal silent brain infarction (SSBI) who were otherwise neurologically n
ormal at entry into the study. This report investigates SSBI, detected
by MRI, as a clinical stroke risk factor. Methods MRI scans were perf
ormed in 933 neurologically normal adults (30 to 81 years; mean age, 5
7.5+/-9.2 years) without history of cerebrovascular diseases who recei
ved our health screening of the brain 1 to 7 years before investigatio
n. We obtained information of their clinical stroke onset through send
ing out a questionnaire for subjects. We detected SSBI (focal T2 hyper
intensities larger than 3 mm with correlative T1 hypointensity), FWT2H
L (focal white matter T2 hyperintensity lesions similar to SSBI but wi
thout correlative T2-hypointensity), and PVH (periventricular hyperint
ensity) by MRI. Age, sex, family history of stroke, history of hyperte
nsion, diabetes mellitus, lipids, hematocrit, blood pressure, fasting
blood sugar, smoking, alcohol habits, ischemic changes on electrocardi
ogram, and sclerotic changes of retinal arteries were included in the
analysis. Results Incidence of SSBI was 10.6% in all subjects. No cort
ical infarct was detected in this series. Multiple logistic regression
analysis showed that hypertension (odds ratio [OR], 4.07; 95% CI, 2.5
7 to 6.45), diabetes (OR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.20 to 4.85), alcohol habits
greater than or equal to 58 g/day (OR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.50 to 4.45), re
tinal artery sclerosis (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.32 to 2.38), and age (OR,
1.77; 95% CI, 1.32 to 2.38) were significant and independent risk fact
ors for SSBI. For FWT2HL, hypertension (OR, 4.49; 95% CI, 2.54 to 7.96
) and age (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.45 to 3.00) were also independent risk
factors. Risk factors for PVH were age (OR, 3.46; 95% CI, 2.23 to 5.36
), hypertension (OR, 3.06; 95% CI, 1.62 to 5.78), and retinal artery s
clerosis (OR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.02 to 4.96). We found 14 brain infarctio
ns, 4 brain hemorrhages, and 1 subarachnoid hemorrhage during observat
ion. Annual incidence of clinical stroke was higher in the subjects wi
th SSBI than in those without focal lesions (10.1% versus 0.77%). ORs
for clinical stroke onset were 10.48 for SSBI (95% CI, 3.63 to 30.21)
and 4.81 for FWT2HL (95% CI, 1.13 to 20.58). The PVH did not relate to
clinical stroke onset. Conclusions The strong association of SSBI, FW
T2HL, and PVH with hypertension suggests a common underlying mechanism
(presumably small-vessel vasculopathy). The SSBI showed the most sign
ificant association for clinical subcortical stroke. The FWT2HL was al
so a risk factor for the stroke but was less significant than SSBI. Th
e subjects with SSBI should be considered at high risk for clinical su
bcortical brain infarction or brain hemorrhage.