The magnetotail reconnection rate during substorms is studied using da
ta taken by the Sondrestrom incoherent scatter radar during an ensembl
e of 24 substorms. A superposed epoch analysis indicates that magnetot
ail reconnection increases marginally significantly above its average
level near the time of substorm expansion phase onset. Our data set sh
ows this increase with 87% confidence within +/- 5 min of onset and wi
th greater than 99% confidence at 10 +/- 5 min after onset. However, t
he median reconnection rate measurement does not begin to increase unt
il 20 min after onset. This effect is shown to be due to a spatial var
iation in the development of magnetotail reconnection during substorms
; magnetotail reconnection increases very soon after onset in a small
magnetic local time sector near midnight, while over most of the separ
atrix, the increase in the reconnection rate is delayed. The average d
elay in the local time sectors greater that 1.5 hours from midnight is
approximately 20 min. We assign functional forms to the average depen
dence of the magnetotail reconnection rate on magnetic local time, on
the interplanetary magnetic field, and on substorm activity, and analy
ze the generalized linear combination of these functions. The resultin
g expression consists of the sum of the average interplanetary magneti
c field and substorm dependence of the reconnection rate gated by the
average spatial variation and accounts for 36% of the variance in the
reconnection rate (0.55 linear correlation), which is most of the low-
frequency (f < 0.5 h(-1)) variation. The residual variance in the reco
nnection rate is mostly noise at a level consistent with the reconnect
ion rate measurement uncertainty.