FUTURES ASSESSMENT BY FIELD ANOMALY RELAXATION - A REVIEW AND APPRAISAL

Authors
COYLE RG CRAWSHAY R SUTTON L
Citation
Rg. Coyle et al., FUTURES ASSESSMENT BY FIELD ANOMALY RELAXATION - A REVIEW AND APPRAISAL, Futures, 26(1), 1994, pp. 25-43
Citations number
7
Categorie Soggetti
Planning & Development
Journal title
Futures → ACNP
ISSN journal
00163287
Volume
26
Issue
1
Year of publication
1994
Pages
25 - 43
Database
ISI
SICI code
0016-3287(1994)26:1<25:FABFAR>2.0.ZU;2-6
Abstract
Futures research includes the problem of generating reasonably exhaust ive and plausible scenarios for a given topic, a problem for which the re are no truly satisfactory solutions. This article reviews and evalu ates a method, field anomaly relaxation, first put forward some 20 yea rs ago. The evaluation is in the context of an illustrative study of p olitical developments in Europe. The research reconstructs and further develops the method and concludes that it has something to offer for scenario generation. Its weaknesses are identified and suggestions for further research are made.