Le. Peterson et al., DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES OF EXCESS CANCER AMONG CHILDREN EXPOSED TO CHERNOBYL RADIONUCLIDES, Stem cells, 15, 1997, pp. 211-230
Within the last decade, a substantial amount of attention has been dev
oted to etiological research on the association between exposure to fa
llout radionuclides from the Chernobyl accident and radiation-induced
late effects (cancer) among children. A majority of the studies comple
ted to date have been of the descriptive type, which only correlate av
erage population exposure with average rate of cancer incidence as a f
unction of calendar period. Since individual dosimetry is not performe
d in descriptive studies, it is unclear whether exposure precedes the
development of cancer and a final decision cannot be made regarding th
e association between radiation exposure and cancer. This paper review
s the background epidemiology and outlines an analytical study design
that is needed to clarify the unclear association between Chernobyl fa
llout exposure and childhood cancer. We discuss the essential elements
of an analytical case-control design such as genetic predisposition,
vital statistics, sample size and power determinations, ascertainment
of cases and controls, and phenomenological dose modeling to establish
individual doses. Examples such as cytogenetic biodosimetry, medical
radiation dosimetry, and cytogenetic characterization of leukemia to m
inimize exposure and diagnostic misclassification are provided. We rec
ommend the analytical methods described in this paper for studying the
role of Chernobyl radionuclides and development of childhood cancer.