Pc. Cooley et al., HOW CAN RESULTS OF LONGITUDINAL-STUDIES HELP MATHEMATICIANS MODEL THEHIV EPIDEMIC AMONG INTRAVENOUS DRUG-ABUSERS AND THE GENERAL-POPULATION, Substance use & misuse, 32(12-13), 1997, pp. 1715-1720
This paper describes an AIDS epidemic model that has been developed to
explore the relationships among parameters that characterize that epi
demic which include: (1) needle sharing and sexual contacts with indiv
iduals within and among distinct risk groups; (2) rates of progression
from HIV infection to diagnosis of AIDS; (3) characteristics of viral
transmission; and (4) survival rates of persons with AIDS. Based on c
ases reported to the Centers for Disease Control, risk-group specific
contact rates are estimated that reconstruct AIDS incidence.