H. Faruqee et al., GOVERNMENT DEBT, LIFE-CYCLE INCOME, AND LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINTS - BEYOND APPROXIMATE RICARDIAN EQUIVALENCE, Staff papers - International Monetary Fund, 44(3), 1997, pp. 374-382
Evans (1991) has demonstrated that Blanchard's (1985) finite-horizon m
odel obeys approximate Ricardian equivalence. This paper shows that th
is result is determined largely by an unrealistic assumption that labo
r income grows monotonically over rite consumer's entire lifetime. Wit
h more realistic lifetime earnings profiles, the effects of government
debt on the real interest rate and the capital stock are considerably
larger. Iii particular, leaving aside the effects of distortionary ca
pital taxation, the extended model with liquidity constraints predicts
that real inter est rates would decline by about 150-200 basis points
if government debt were eliminated completely in all countries of the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).