Dm. Cardo et al., A CASE-CONTROL STUDY OF HIV SEROCONVERSION IN HEALTH-CARE WORKERS AFTER PERCUTANEOUS EXPOSURE, The New England journal of medicine, 337(21), 1997, pp. 1485-1490
Background The average risk of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infe
ction after percutaneous exposure to HIV-infected blood is 0.3 percent
, but the factors that influence this risk are not well understood. Me
thods We conducted a case-control study Of health care workers with oc
cupational, percutaneous exposure to HIV-infected blood. The case pati
ents were those who became seropositive after exposure to HIV, as repo
rted by national surveillance systems in France, Italy, the United Kin
gdom, and the United States. The controls were health care workers in
a prospective surveillance project who were exposed to HIV but did not
seroconvert. Results Logistic-regression analysis based on 33 case pa
tients and 665 controls showed that significant risk factors for seroc
onversion were deep injury (odds ratio=15; 95 percent confidence inter
val, 6.0 to 41), injury with a device that was visibly contaminated wi
th the source patient's blood (odds ratio=6.2; 95 percent confidence i
nterval, 2.2 to 21), a procedure involving a needle placed in the sour
ce patient's artery or vein (odds ratio=4.3; 95 percent confidence int
erval, 1.7 to 12), and exposure to a source patient who died of the ac
quired immunodeficiency syndrome within two months afterward (odds rat
io=5.6; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.0 to 16). The case patients
were significantly less likely than the controls to have taken zidovud
ine after the exposure (odds ratio=0.19; 95 percent confidence interva
l, 0.06 to 0.52). Conclusions The risk of HIV infection after percutan
eous exposure increases with a larger volume of blood and, probably, a
higher titer of HIV in the source patient's blood. Postexposure proph
ylaxis with zidovudine appears to be protective. (C) 1997, Massachuset
ts Medical Society.