H. Huntrieser et al., COMPARISON OF TRADITIONAL AND NEWLY DEVELOPED THUNDERSTORM INDEXES FOR SWITZERLAND, Weather and forecasting, 12(1), 1997, pp. 108-125
The preconvective environment on thunderstorm days in Switzerland nort
h of the Alps has been investigated during a 5-yr period (1985-89). Th
ermodynamic and kinematic parameters calculated from the radiosounding
in Payerne (started at 0000 and 1200 UTC) were used to characterize t
he initiation of convection. The best parameters were evaluated by usi
ng three methods: 1) skill scores, 2) probability distributions, and 3
) mean temperature soundings and hodographs. For the decision whether
a thunderstorm day was expected or not, the best results were obtained
at 0000 UTC with the original Showalter index and at 1200 UTC with th
e SWEAT index. In addition, to decide whether an isolated or widesprea
d thunderstorm day was expected, the most successful parameter was the
modified CAFE(CCL). Furthermore, the best thermodynamic and kinematic
parameters were combined to create new thunderstorm indices, similar
to the calculations of the SWEAT index in the United States. The new t
hunderstorm indices especially designed for northern Switzerland were
jointly called the ''SWISS index'' (combined stability and wind shear
index for thunderstorms in Switzerland). All of the traditional and ne
w indices were verified with independent data from 3 yr (1990, 1992, a
nd 1993), showing the best results for the new combined indices.