Pa. Ubel et G. Loewenstein, THE EFFICACY AND EQUITY OF RETRANSPLANTATION - AN EXPERIMENTAL SURVEYOF PUBLIC-ATTITUDES, Health policy, 34(2), 1995, pp. 145-151
Purpose: To measure the relative importance people place on prognosis
and retransplantation status in allocating scarce transplantable liver
s. Methods: 138 subjects were asked to distribute scarce livers amongs
t transplant candidates with either a 70% chance or a 30% chance of su
rviving if transplanted, In one group of subjects, the prognostic diff
erence was based on the presence or absence of a 'blood marker.' In th
e other group, the prognostic difference was based on whether candidat
es had been previously transplanted or not, with retransplant candidat
es having a 30% chance of surviving if transplanted. Results: Subjects
answering the retransplantation survey gave a higher percentage of or
gans to the better prognostic group than subjects answering the blood
marker survey, with a mean of 71.6% versus 65.0%, although this differ
ence fell just short of statistical significance (P = 0.0581). Retrans
plantation survey respondents were significantly less likely to want t
o ignore prognostic information than were blood marker respondents (P
= 0.026). Subjects in both survey groups were equally unwilling to aba
ndon the poor prognostic group, with only 18% in each group choosing t
o give all the available organs to the better prognostic group. Conclu
sions: Respondents reacted more strongly to prognostic differences whe
n they were due to retransplant status than to the results of a blood
test, However, most people were not solely interested in the aggregate
medical benefit brought by different allocation systems, but were als
o interested in the amount of benefit brought to the worst off.