J. Myerson et L. Green, DISCOUNTING OF DELAYED REWARDS - MODELS OF INDIVIDUAL CHOICE, Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior, 64(3), 1995, pp. 263-276
The present paper addresses the question of the form of the mathematic
al relation between the time until a delayed reward and its present va
lue. Data are presented from an experiment in which subjects chose bet
ween hypothetical amounts of money available either immediately or aft
er a delay (Green, Fry, & Myerson, 1994). Analyses of the behavior of
individual young adults demonstrated that temporal discounting is bett
er described by hyperbola-like functions than by exponential decay fun
ctions. For most individuals, the parameter that determines the rate o
f discounting varied inversely with amount. Raising the denominator of
the discounting function to a power resulted in better descriptions o
f the data from most subjects. Two possible derivations of the tempora
l discounting function are proposed, a repeated choice model and an ex
pected value model. These provide theoretical interpretations for amou
nt-dependent discounting but amount-independent exponent parameters.