Dc. Mutz, EFFECTS OF HORSE-RACE COVERAGE ON CAMPAIGN COFFERS - STRATEGIC CONTRIBUTING IN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES, The Journal of politics, 57(4), 1995, pp. 1015-1042
The quantity of ''horse-race'' coverage of political campaigns has bee
n amply documented, but its consequences for the dynamics of campaigns
are less well understood. This study examines the effects of media po
rtrayals of public support for candidates on the behavior of potential
campaign contributors. This relationship is tested in the context of
the four leading Democratic presidential primary candidates in 1988. A
time-series analysis of contributor behavior suggests that horse-race
spin-that is, the extent of media coverage suggesting a candidate is
gaining or losing political support-helps determine the frequency of c
ampaign contributions. Consistent with previous research, some contrib
utors are motivated to donate by coverage suggesting that their strong
ly favored candidate is losing ground, while other candidacies benefit
from coverage suggesting increased viability. Overall, findings sugge
st that strategic considerations weigh heavily in decisions to donate
money to political candidates.