OBJECTIVE - Illness duration and glycemic control influence the develo
pment of retinopathy in childhood-onset insulin-dependent diabetes mel
litus (IDDM). Psychiatric disorders and sociodemographic factors also
affect diabetes-related outcomes. However, biomedical and psychosocial
factors have not been examined together in modeling the risk of retin
opathy. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS - We conducted a single-site prosp
ective longitudinal study of 66 children (aged 8-13 years) newly diagn
osed with IDDM. Repeated assessments served to derive psychiatric diag
noses. Poor glycemic control was defined as the upper 15th percentile
of all HbA(1) values. After a median follow-up of 10 years, severity o
f retinopathy was determined. It was modeled with a stepwise polychoto
mous regression procedure using antecedent biomedical and psychosocial
variables. RESULTS - Young adults with childhood-onset IDDM were foun
d to be at increased risk of retinopathy the longer they had IDDM, the
more persistently they evidenced poor antecedent glycemic control, an
d the longer they suffered from depressive illness. These three factor
s operated individually and additively with duration of IDDM conferrin
g a baseline level of risk. In depressed patients (27%), depression on
set antedated the detection of retinopathy generally by 7 years. CONCL
USIONS - Duration of childhood-onset IDDM confers a baseline level of
risk of retinopathy irrespective of glycemic control; antecedent clini
cal depression is also a risk factor. Depression therefore may serve a
s a marker of vulnerability and help to identify a subgroup of patient
s at risk for complications. The findings raise the question whether t
imely treatment of depression could forestall diabetic retinopathy.