This paper develops a model relating CO2 emissions to atmospheric conc
entrations, global temperature change and economic damages. For a vari
ety of parameter assumptions, the model provides estimates of the marg
inal cost of emissions in various years. The optimal carbon tax is a f
unction of the marginal emission cost and the costs of administering t
he tax. This paper demonstrates that under any reasonable assumptions,
the optimal carbon tax is zero for at least several decades.