Sr. Aiyagari, OPTIMAL CAPITAL INCOME TAXATION WITH INCOMPLETE MARKETS, BORROWING CONSTRAINTS, AND CONSTANT DISCOUNTING, Journal of political economy, 103(6), 1995, pp. 1158-1175
For a wide class of infinitely lived agent models, Chamley has shown t
hat the optimal capital income tax rate is zero in the long run. Lucas
has argued that for the U.S. economy, there is a significant welfare
gain from switching to this policy. This paper shows that for the Bewl
ey class of models with incomplete insurance markets and borrowing con
straints, the optimal tax rate on capital income is positive, even in
the long run. Therefore, cutting the capital income tax to zero may we
ll lead to welfare losses.