We develop a theoretical framework which allows, starting from multi-v
ariable electrophysiological PDE models, to make ab initio quantitativ
e predictions of the instability threshold and nonlinear dynamics of a
pulse propagating in a ring of excitable tissue. This framework is ba
sed on the reduction of the PDE models to a single-front free-boundary
problem in which the fast membrane-current variables are eliminated a
nd only the dynamics of the slow relevant ones are retained. The solut
ion of this free-boundary problem is in tum well approximated by a sim
ple discrete map whose dimension D is equal to the number of slow memb
rane-current variables. This framework is applied to the Noble (D = 1)
and Beeler-Reuter model (D = 3) of cardiac tissue and found to yield
results in reasonably good quantitative agreement with PDE simulations
. For the Beeler-Reuter model, the minimum period of stable propagatio
n is found to depend sensitively on the dynamics of the calcium channe
l in a way which, together with the two-dimensional numerical simulati
ons of Courtemanche and Winfree (Int. J. Bifurcation and Chaos 1 (1991
) 431), strongly suggests that spiral breakup in this model occurs as
a result of electrical alternans.