Projection methods such as Green's function and diffusion Monte Carlo
are commonly used to calculate the leading eigenvalue and eigenvector
of operators or large matrices. They thereby give access to ground sta
te properties of quantum systems, and finite temperature properties of
classical statistical mechanical systems having a transfer matrix. Th
e basis of these approaches is a stochastic application of the power m
ethod in which a ''projection'' operator is applied iteratively. For t
he systematic errors to be small, the number of iterations must be lar
ge; however, in that limit, the statistical errors grow tremendously.
We present an analytical study of the main variance reduction methods
used for dealing with this problem. In particular, we discuss the cons
equences of guiding, replication, and population control on statistica
l and systematic errors.