It is often assumed that environmental variability strongly influences
the evolution of life-history strategies, principally by determining
the optimal level of reproductive effort, and that differences in life
histories between populations and species represent fundamental diffe
rences in reproductive effort. In this paper, we use computer simulati
ons and simple analytical approaches to demonstrate that even large am
ounts of temporal variation in either fecundity or survival have relat
ively little influence on optimal reproductive effort for generalized
avian life histories. We suggest that demographic differences among po
pulations or closely related species are not likely to result from dif
ferences in the optimization of reproductive effort to environments wi
th different levels of variability alone, but may reflect instead diff
erences in average values of fecundity and survival.