A total of 87 HPV-positive patients with grade I and II cervical intra
epithelial neoplasia (CIN I and II) were followed up by cytology and c
olposcopy every 3 months for more than 5 years following the first bio
psy. These patients were classified into three groups (progressive, pe
rsistent, and regressive disease) according to the results. The human
papillomavirus (HPV) genome and viral types were identified by Souther
n blot hybridization at T-m-40 degrees and T-m-20 degrees with DNA ext
racted from exfoliated cervical cells. The lesion progressed to CIN II
I in 4/87 patients (4.5%), persisted in 39 patients (44.8%), and regre
ssed in 44 patients (50.6%). In the progressive disease group, HPV 16
was detected in 2 patients, HPV 33 in 1 patient, and HPV 52 in 1 patie
nt. In the persistent disease group, HPV 58 was predominant (28%), whe
reas in the regressive disease group, there was no predominant HPV typ
e. In 10/39 patients from the persistent disease group, cytological ex
amination transiently revealed severe dysplasia and/or findings simila
r to carcinoma in situ. These patients showed severe cytological abnor
malities only once or twice during the follow-up. These results sugges
t that the natural history of CIN possibly depends upon the type of HP
V that infects the cervix, and the relative risk of progression was si
milar to that shown by previous cross-sectional studies.