This essay seeks to lay the foundation for an understanding of welfare
state retrenchment. Previous discussions have generally relied, at le
ast implicitly, on a reflexive application of theories designed to exp
lain welfare state expansion. Such an approach is seriously flawed. No
t only is the goal of retrenchment (avoiding blame for cutting existin
g programs) far different from the goal of expansion (claiming credit
for new social benefits), but the welfare state itself vastly alters t
he terrain on which the politics of social policy is fought out. Only
an appreciation of how mature social programs create a new politics ca
n allow us to make sense of the welfare state's remarkable resilience
over the past two decades of austerity Theoretical argument is combine
d with quantitative and qualitative data from four cases (Britain, the
United States, Germany, and Sweden) to demonstrate the shortcomings o
f conventional wisdom and to highlight the factors that limit or facil
itate retrenchment success.