To study the behavior of hematopoietic stem cells in vivo, hematopoies
is was simulated by assuming that all stem cell decisions (that is, re
plication, apoptosis, initiation of a differentiation/maturation progr
am) were determined by chance. Predicted outcomes from simulated exper
iments were compared with data obtained in autologous marrow transplan
tation studies of glucose 6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) heterozygou
s female Safari cats. With this approach, we prove that stochastic dif
ferentiation can result in the wide spectrum of discrete outcomes obse
rved in vivo, and that clonal dominance can occur by chance. As the an
alyses also suggest that the frequency of feline hematopoietic stem ce
lls is only 6 per 10(7) nucleated marrow cells, and that stem cells do
not replicate on average more frequently than once every three weeks,
these large-animal data challenge clinical strategies for marrow tran
splantation and gene therapy.