M. David et al., UNCONJUGATED ESTRIOL AS MATERNAL SERUM MARKER FOR THE DETECTION OF DOWN-SYNDROME PREGNANCIES, Fetal diagnosis and therapy, 11(2), 1996, pp. 99-105
The effectiveness of unconjugated estriol (uE(3)) as a serum marker fo
r the detection of Down syndrome (DS) during the 2nd trimester of preg
nancy was evaluated. A population of 18,764 normal singleton pregnanci
es was screened for alpha-fetoprotein and human chorionic gonadotropin
. In 9,311 women, uE(3) was added. Using a risk of 1:250 at term as a
cutoff value, the false-positive rates were 4.1 and 4.3% without and w
ith uE(3), respectively. The detection rates in 47 DS serum samples, s
ome of which were studied retrospectively, were 66% without uE(3) and
57% with uE(3). In 12 of 25 younger women and in 19 of 22 older women,
DS was detected without uE(3). The uE(3) contributed to the detection
of 4 additional DS pregnancies (1 in the young and 3 in older women).
On the other hand, 8 DS pregnancies (3 in younger women and 5 in olde
r women) escaped detection. In our sample the addition of uE(3) lowere
d the detection rate of DS pregnancies with only a small and insignifi
cant effect on the false-positive rate. Our results call for special c
aution in the addition of markers for risk calculations. We suggest th
at pregnancies with a calculated risk of >1:250 following maternal ser
um alpha-fetoprotein and human chorionic gonadotropin markers tests sh
ould be regarded as high-risk pregnancies, even in cases in whom the a
ddition of uE(3) lowers the risk beneath the cutoff value.