After a review of the literature on the prognosis of ductile fracture,
a damage indicator is developed which is based on micromechanical res
ults and adapted to experiments. A calibration of this damage indicato
r is possible by inspecting in detail a load displacement curve for a
long and smooth specimen. Relation to currently published damage indic
ators is discussed. The damage indicators can be used to indicate the
onset of a local crack in a ductile structure.