J. Biederman et al., PREDICTORS OF PERSISTENCE AND REMISSION OF ADHD INTO ADOLESCENCE - RESULTS FROM A 4-YEAR PROSPECTIVE FOLLOW-UP-STUDY, Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 35(3), 1996, pp. 343-351
Objective: To evaluate the predictors of persistence and the timing of
remission of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Method:
Subjects were 6- to 17-year old Caucasian, non-Hispanic boys with and
without ADHD. DSM-III-R structured diagnostic interviews and blind ra
ters were used to examine psychiatric diagnoses, cognitive achievement
, social, school, and family functioning at a 4-year follow-up assessm
ent. Results: At the 4-year follow-up assessment, 85% of children with
ADHD continued to have the disorder and 15% remitted. Of those who re
mitted, half did so in childhood and the other half in adolescence. Pr
edictors of persistence were familiality of ADHD, psychosocial adversi
ty, and comorbidity with conduct, mood, and anxiety disorders. Conclus
ions: The findings prospectively confirm that the majority of children
with ADHD will continue to express the disorder 4 years later. For a
minority of children, ADHD was a transient disorder that remits early
in development. In addition, we have shown that persistence of ADHD is
predictable. Familiality, adversity, and psychiatric comorbidity may
be clinically useful predictors of which children with ADHD are at ris
k for a persistent disorder.