UNCERTAINTY IN FULL FUEL-CYCLE COSTS

Studies of the full fuel cycle costs of power generation can be comple x and time-consuming. Uncertainty is often neglected, as attention is directed at other aspects of the problem. This paper describes some te chniques for handling uncertainty, including sensitivity and probabili stic analysis. Results show the uncertainty in parts of the external c osts for a coal-fired power station, and the main influences are explo red.