The aim of the study reported here was to test the validity of a simpl
e clinical classification of acute ischaemic stroke (Oxfordshire Commu
nity Stroke Project, OCSP) in predicting the site and size of cerebral
infarction on computed tomography (CT). Consecutive patients admitted
to hospital with acute ischaemic stroke were prospectively identified
and classified into one of four clinical syndromes according to the O
CSP classification, blind to the result of CT. The CT brain scans were
classified blind to the clinical features into those demonstrating: s
mall, medium or large cortical infarcts; small or large subcortical in
farcts in the anterior circulation territory; and posterior cerebral c
irculation territory infarcts. A total of 108 patients were included.
A recent infarct was seen on the CT scan in 91 patients (84%), and the
clinical classification correctly predicted the site and size of the
cerebral infarct in 80 of these (88%; 95% confidence inter val 77-92%)
. The positive predictive value was best for large cortical infarcts (
0.94) and worst for small subcortical infarcts (0.63). The OCSP clinic
al classification is a reasonably valid way of predicting the site and
size of cerebral infarction on CT and can, therefore, be used very ea
rly after stroke onset before the infarct appears on the scan.