Somatic cell count (SCC) in milk is inversely related to dairy cow pro
ductivity and milk quality. In an effort to improve product quality, a
nd indirectly farm productivity, regulatory limits on somatic cell cou
nts have been established by many of the major dairy producing countri
es. The purpose of this paper was to assess the impact of regulations
on bulk milk somatic cell counts in Ontario and to assist producers in
meeting regulatory limits through development of prediction models. T
hrough the use of a transfer function model, provincial SCC was found
to have dropped by approximately 60,000 as a result of the reduction p
rogram. Limits of the regulatory program, seasonality and herd charact
eristics were found through time series cross-sectional models to have
an impact on prediction of SCC at the farm level, but the major influ
ence was historical SCC levels.