A long sought goal in the physical chemistry of macromolecular structu
re, and one directly relevant to understanding the molecular basis of
biological recognition, is predicting the geometry of bimolecular comp
lexes from the geometries of their free monomers. Even when the monome
rs remain relatively unchanged by complex formation, prediction has be
en difficult because the free energies of alternative conformations of
the complex have been difficult to evaluate quickly and accurately. T
his has forced the use of incomplete target functions, which typically
do no better than to provide tens of possible complexes with no way o
f choosing between them. Here we present a general framework for empir
ical free energy evaluation and report calculations, based on a relati
vely complete and easily executable free energy function, that indicat
e that the structures of complexes can be predicted accurately from th
e structures of monomers, including close sequence homologues. The cal
culations also suggest that the binding free energies themselves may b
e predicted with reasonable accuracy. The method is compared to an alt
ernative formulation that has also been applied recently to the same d
ata set. Both approaches promise to open new opportunities in macromol
ecular design and specificity modification.