Background and Purpose Effective methods to monitor length of stay can
help reduce unnecessary hospital stay without adversely affecting the
quality of care. In this study a clinical algorithm for assessing unj
ustified hospital stay in stroke patients was computerized and tested.
Methods An algorithm was developed by the authors to estimate the num
ber of medically justified and unjustified hospital days for patients
admitted with a primary diagnosis of ischemic stroke. Data for the alg
orithm were obtained from 177 stroke patients from an acute-care teach
ing hospital. The performance of the algorithm was evaluated on a subs
et of 46 patients by comparing the number of medically unjustified hos
pital days determined by the algorithm with the consensus determinatio
n of two neurologists. Results The algorithm classified 68% of the 177
patients as having some unjustified hospital days and 41% of all hosp
ital days as unjustified. With the neurologists as the gold standard,
the sensitivity of the algorithm was .89 and the specificity was .91.
The correlation between the number of unjustified days determined by t
he algorithm and the neurologists was .76. Conclusions There is consid
erable unjustified length of stay for stroke patients. Physicians can
develop simple clinical algorithms for detecting unjustified hospital
stay in stroke patients that provide a reasonable approximation of com
plex clinical judgment.