Before a municipal solid waste incinerator (MSWI) can be operated, it
is generally required that a health risk assessment be performed and t
hat human health risks predicted fall below permissible levels. There
are several components to the risk assessment paradigm, including: (1)
determination of stack emissions for potentially toxic chemicals, (2)
calculation of atmospheric dispersion and exposure point concentratio
ns, (3) development of scenarios by which humans become exposed to air
borne chemicals, (4) identification of dose-response functions for car
cinogenic and noncarcinogenic effects, and (5) prediction of the proba
bility of health impacts. Typical MSWI air contaminants of concern are
metals (e.g., Ag, As, Be, Cd, Cr, Hg, Ni, Pb, Sb) and organic compoun
ds (e.g., benzene, PCBs, B(a)P, polychlorinated dioxins/furans). MSWI
risk assessments include both direct exposure pathways (air inhalation
, incidental ingestion of soil), and indirect pathways (food-chain exp
osures such as human consumption of produce, beef, fish, and milk). To
perform a risk assessment for direct and indirect routes of exposure,
both atmospheric concentration and deposition rate are required; assu
mptions need to be made about toxicity as a function of route of expos
ure. Interpretation of risk-assessment results requires understanding
how some of the conservative assumptions made in the risk-assessment p
rocess play out relative to real-world health hazards. Some attempts h
ave been made to verify that predicted concentrations of airborne cont
aminants are reflected by measured levels, but in most cases the predi
cted air and soil concentrations fall below limits of detection and al
ways within background variability. In summary, health risk assessment
s are useful for regulatory guidance, but it has not been possible to
verify that health risks of MSWI emissions contribute measurably to po
pulation health risks.