Ij. Horstmann et Jr. Markusen, EXPLORING NEW MARKETS - DIRECT-INVESTMENT, CONTRACTUAL RELATIONS AND THE MULTINATIONAL-ENTERPRISE, International economic review, 37(1), 1996, pp. 1-19
We consider the multinational firm's decision on whether to enter a ne
w market immediately via direct investment or to contract initially wi
th a local agent and (possibly) invest later. Use of a local agent all
ows the multinational to avoid costly mistakes by finding out if the m
arket is large enough to support direct investment However, the agent
is able to extract information rents from the multinational due to bei
ng better informed about market characteristics. We find that direct i
nvestment is the desirable mode of entry when the market is on average
large and the variability in profits is not.