Two methods of prediction for the risk of unbalance at birth were test
ed on a large data base of reciprocal translocation (1376 families): t
he pachyten diagram predictive method (PDPmethod) and the discriminant
method (Dmethod). These method succeeded in correctly predicting the
segregation mode in 66% of the data for the PDPmethod and in 80% of th
e data for the Dmethod. The quality of chromosome material (in particu
lar R bands) must be taken into account for more accurate prediction.
Some difficulties still exist in predicting the 3:1 tertiary segregati
on mode, which can frequently be incorrectly classified as the adjacen
t 1 mode.