Aa. Feinberg et A. Widom, CONNECTING PARAMETRIC AGING TO CATASTROPHIC FAILURE THROUGH THERMODYNAMICS, IEEE transactions on reliability, 45(1), 1996, pp. 28-33
There have been numerous studies with Arrhenius theory in reliability.
However, very few actually apply to parametric reliability analysis.
This paper provides fundamental details in this area of reliability ph
ysics, We derive a Thermally Activated Time-dependent (TAT) model for
both parametric & catastrophic Arrhenius aging. It is shown how aging
dynamics depend upon thermodynamics specific to device reliability phy
sics and how catastrophic phenomena can be correlated to device life d
ynamics. We first demonstrate that Arrhenius degradation behavior can
lead to log(time) aging kinetics with lognormal failure times. We disc
uss how this helps to explain why the lognormal distribution has been
so successfully applied in semiconductor reliability analysis. Log(tim
e) aging is extremely important in reliability physics, because its or
igin can mathematically be tied to Arrhenius mechanisms, of which nume
rous examples exist. Furthermore, this paper ties the reliability phys
ics of the thermodynamic process to the log(time) aging expression. As
such, the parametric dependencies of the aging process can be found b
y analysis of the thermodynamic activated free energy. The appendix pr
ovides examples to aid the reader. Next, this work is extended to the
catastrophic case. It is shown that parametric aging can mathematicall
y be related to catastrophic phenomena for severe degradation due to A
rrhenius mechanisms. Linking the two phenomena in this way yields a pr
oactive approach to reliability in which catastrophic phenomena are co
rrelated to device life. The results demonstrate that early life degra
dation trends provide important links to eventual catastrophic phenome
na.