Agricultural and pastoral systems are dynamic entities, responsive to
physical, chemical and biological changes in their environment. The im
portance of agriculture to human welfare and national economies, and t
he variability of production within and between years, has led to the
construction of mathematical models to study the impacts of climate va
riability, farm management and environmental change on such systems. T
he value and adequacy of these models in providing a sound framework f
or planning changes in land use and management are discussed.