Jn. Bahcall et Pi. Krastev, HOW WELL DO WE (AND WILL WE) KNOW SOLAR-NEUTRINO FLUXES AND OSCILLATION PARAMETERS, Physical review. D. Particles and fields, 53(8), 1996, pp. 4211-4225
Individual neutrino fluxes are not well determined by the four operati
ng solar neutrino experiments. Assuming neutrino oscillations occur, t
he pp electron neutrino flux is uncertain by a factor of 2, the B-8 fl
ux by a factor of 5, and the Be-7 flux by a factor of 45. For matter-e
nhanced oscillation (MSW) solutions, the range of allowed differences
of squared neutrino masses, Delta m(2), varies between 4x10(-6) eV(2)
and 1x10(-4) eV(2), while 4x10(-3)less than or equal to sin(2)2 theta
less than or equal to 1.5x10(-2) or 0.5 less than or equal to sin(2)2
theta less than or equal to 0.9. For vacuum oscillations, Delta m(2) v
aries between 5x10(-11) eV(2) and 1x10(-10) eV(2), while 0.7 less than
or equal to sin(2) theta less than or equal to 1.0. The inferred rang
es of neutrino parameters depend only weakly on which standard solar m
odel is used. Calculations of the expected results of future solar neu
trino experiments (SuperKamiokande, SNO, BOREXINO, ICARUS, HELLAZ, and
HERON) are used to illustrate the extent to which these experiments w
ill restrict the range of the allowed neutrino mixing parameters. For
example, the double ratio (observed ratio divided by standard model ra
tio) of neutral current to charged current event rates to be measured
in the SNO experiment varies, at 95% confidence limit, over the range
1.0 (no oscillations into active neutrinos), 3.1(-1.3)(+1.8) (small mi
xing angle MSW), 4.4(-1.4)(+2.0) (large mixing angle MSW), and 5.2(-2.
9)(+5.6) (vacuum oscillations). We present an improved formulation of
the ''luminosity constraint'' and show that at 95% confidence limit, t
his constraint establishes the best available limits on the rate of cr
eation of pp neutrinos in the solar interior and provides the best upp
er limit to the Be-7 neutrino flux. The actual rate of creation of sol
ar neutrinos in the solar interior to the rate predicted by the standa
rd solar model can vary (while holding the CNO neutrino flux constant)
between 0.55 and 1.08 for pp neutrinos and between 0.0 and 6.35 for B
e-7 neutrinos.