Hk. Temraz et al., APPLICATION OF THE DECOMPOSITION TECHNIQUE FOR FORECASTING THE LOAD OF A LARGE ELECTRIC-POWER NETWORK, IEE proceedings. Generation, transmission and distribution, 143(1), 1996, pp. 13-18
A reliable electric load forecasting technique is introduced. In this
technique, a suitable model to fit the data is selected before the act
ual forecasting algorithm is performed. The model is constructed in th
ree steps: identification, estimation and diagnostic checking. This mo
del is then used by two decomposition techniques (multiplicative and a
dditive) to forecast the electric load. The techniques are illustrated
by applying them to the forecast of the monthly peak loads of a large
electric power network. The Egyptian electric power network peak load
s data are used in this study. Analysis and comparison of the results
have shown that the techniques are adequate and yield good results.