APPLICATION OF THE DECOMPOSITION TECHNIQUE FOR FORECASTING THE LOAD OF A LARGE ELECTRIC-POWER NETWORK

Citation
Hk. Temraz et al., APPLICATION OF THE DECOMPOSITION TECHNIQUE FOR FORECASTING THE LOAD OF A LARGE ELECTRIC-POWER NETWORK, IEE proceedings. Generation, transmission and distribution, 143(1), 1996, pp. 13-18
Citations number
11
Categorie Soggetti
Engineering, Eletrical & Electronic
ISSN journal
13502360
Volume
143
Issue
1
Year of publication
1996
Pages
13 - 18
Database
ISI
SICI code
1350-2360(1996)143:1<13:AOTDTF>2.0.ZU;2-B
Abstract
A reliable electric load forecasting technique is introduced. In this technique, a suitable model to fit the data is selected before the act ual forecasting algorithm is performed. The model is constructed in th ree steps: identification, estimation and diagnostic checking. This mo del is then used by two decomposition techniques (multiplicative and a dditive) to forecast the electric load. The techniques are illustrated by applying them to the forecast of the monthly peak loads of a large electric power network. The Egyptian electric power network peak load s data are used in this study. Analysis and comparison of the results have shown that the techniques are adequate and yield good results.