Background. Postnatal depression follows 10% of live births but there
is little consensus on the risk factors associated with its developmen
t. Previous smaller studies have been unable to quantify the impact of
independent risk factors as relative and attributable risks. Method.
The Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) was used to screen a s
ystematic sample of 2375 women, six to eight weeks after delivery. Inf
ormation on socio-demographic and obstetric variables was collected at
the screening interview. The risk factors associated with high EPDS s
cores (>12) were determined and entered stepwise into a regression mod
el. Results. Four independent variables were found to be associated wi
th an EPDS score above this threshold. These were an unplanned pregnan
cy (OR 1.44); not breast-feeding (OR 1.52), and unemployment in either
the mother, i.e. no job to return to following maternity leave (OR 1.
56), or the head of household (OR 1.50). These four variables appeared
to explain the risk associated with other risk factors. Conclusions.
Although a direct aetiological role for these risk factors is not cert
ain, they may indicate strategies for the prevention of affective morb
idity in postnatal women. These may include reducing unwanted pregnanc
y and employment for women after childbirth.