B. Berkowitz et H. Scher, INFLUENCE OF EMBEDDED FRACTURES ON CONTAMINANT DIFFUSION IN GEOLOGICAL FORMATIONS, Geophysical research letters, 23(9), 1996, pp. 925-928
Crystalline rock formations are prime candidates for siting of reposit
ories for radioactive and toxic wastes. Even the possibility of tenuou
s proximity of these sites to the biosphere requires realistic means o
f predicting subtle features of contaminant migration, such as very lo
w-level seepage. We generate percolation clusters to reproduce the oft
en observed ramified embedded fracture structures in these formations.
Diffusion paths through these clusters and the shortest spans of rock
between them can so significantly decrease contaminant breakthrough t
imes that previous estimates can be in error by up to an order of magn
itude. Our analysis suggests that current methods for determining the
suitability of geological formations as natural barriers to contaminat
ion are inadequate, and may result in dangerously misleading conclusio
ns.