Tropospheric ozone is an important greenhouse gas. In the upper tropos
phere one of the major sources of ozone are the nitrogen oxides produc
ed by lightning [IPCC, 1995]. Recently it has been shown that the numb
er of lightning flashes may be very sensitive to changes in the surfac
e temperature [Williams, 1992]. Here we use a global two-dimensional a
tmospheric model and find that for a warmer surface and constant light
ning ozone decreases globally except for in the polluted Northern Hemi
sphere. However, a warming with increased lightning can more than offs
et this decrease. We find that for a 20% increase of lightning the glo
bal mean radiative forcing by tropospheric ozone is about +0.1 Wm(-2).
There is therefore a possibility of a positive climate feedback mecha
nism. The implied sensitivity of ozone to lightning and temperature su
ggests a major uncertainty in quantifying anthropogenic perturbations
of upper tropospheric ozone.