K. Loague et al., UNCERTAINTY OF GROUNDWATER VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS FOR AGRICULTURALREGIONS IN HAWAII - REVIEW, Journal of environmental quality, 25(3), 1996, pp. 475-490
There are important challenges associated with assessing potential gro
undwater vulnerability hazards that may result from regional scale app
lications of agrochemicals. The increasing availability of Geographic
Information System (GIS) software to those involved in assisting with
landuse decisions has resulted in the widespread production of multico
lored risk management maps for many environmentally sensitive issues.
Soil-based GIS's have recently been coupled to various solute-leaching
models to make near-surface groundwater vulnerability assessments for
guidance in pesticide regulation in several states. In general, these
assessments rest on soil, climatic, and chemical data that are extrem
ely sparse and contain considerable uncertainty. It is also important
to acknowledge the uncertainty associated with the transport/fate proc
esses that are not accounted for by the modeling approach used to make
the assessment. In this paper, we review the results from a series of
papers that have focused on characterization of uncertainty in pestic
ide mobility estimates, using the attenuation and retardation indices
(AF and RF), for the Pearl Harbor Basin on the Hawaiian island of Oahu
. Relative to data error uncertainties, we discuss the impacts of: (i)
soil, climatic, and chemical data base uncertainties, (ii) reductions
in data base uncertainties, (iii) extrapolation of soil data base inf
ormation based on soil taxonomy and soil survey, and (iv) importing in
formation from outside the region of interest. Relative to model error
uncertainties, we compare pesticide leaching estimates from the simpl
e AF and RF mobility indices with simulations from the EPA's Pesticide
Root Zone Model (PRZM) and field observations. Finally, we outline a
Regional Integrated Risk Assessment approach for characterizing region
al scale groundwater vulnerability for near-surface nonpoint sources.