Ra. Carrhill et al., SOCIOECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF RATES OF CONSULTATION IN GENERAL-PRACTICE BASED ON 4TH NATIONAL MORBIDITY SURVEY OF GENERAL PRACTICES, BMJ. British medical journal, 312(7037), 1996, pp. 1008-1012
Objective-To identify the socioeconomic determinants of consultation r
ates in general practice. Design-Analysis of data from the fourth nati
onal morbidity survey of general practices (MSGP4) including sociodemo
graphic details of individual patients and small area statistics from
the 1991 census. Multilevel modelling techniques were used to take acc
ount of both individual patient data and small area statistics to rela
te socioeconomic and health status factors directly to a measure of ge
neral practitioner workload. Results-Higher rates of consultations wer
e found in patients who were classified as permanently sick, unemploye
d (especially those who became unemployed during the study year), livi
ng in rented accommodation, from the Indian subcontinent, living with
a spouse or partner (women only), children living with two parents (gi
rls only), and living in urban areas, especially those living relative
ly near the practice. When characteristics of individual patients are
known and controlled for the role of ''indices of deprivation'' is con
siderably reduced. The effect of individual sociodemographic character
istics were shown to vary between different areas. Conclusions-Demogra
phic and socioeconomic factors can act as powerful predictors of consu
ltation patterns. Though it will always be necessary to retain some lo
cal planning discretion, the sets of coefficients estimated for indivi
dual level factors, area level characteristics, and for practice group
ings may be sufficient to provide an indicative level of demand for ge
neral medical services. Although the problems in using socioeconomic d
ata from individual patients would be substantial, these results are r
elevant to the development of a resource allocation formula for genera
l practice.