Jm. Wolff et al., PROSTATE-SPECIFIC ANTIGEN AS A MARKER OF BONE METASTASIS IN PATIENTS WITH PROSTATE-CANCER, Urologia internationalis, 56(3), 1996, pp. 169-173
Objective: Staging in patients with newly diagnosed untreated cancer o
f the prostate has significant ramifications on the management of the
disease. Currently measurement of the serum prostate-specific antigen
(PSA) concentration and radionuclide bone scan are two important proce
dures in the metastatic workup of these patients. We retrospectively e
valuated the efficacy of PSA as a staging marker to discriminate prost
ate cancer patients with bone metastases from those without bone metas
tases. Materials and Methods: In a retrospective study 158 prostate ca
ncer patients with (n = 21) and without (n = 137) bone metastases were
analyzed. In all patients the initial PSA measurement as well as the
radionuclide bone scan were evaluated. Results: Patients with bone met
astases demonstrated a median serum PSA concentration of 151 ng/ml and
only 1 patient revealed a serum PSA concentration of <10 ng/ml. This
resulted in a negative predictive value of 98%. In addition 67% of the
se patients demonstrated a serum PSA concentration of >100 ng/ml, whic
h resulted in a positive predictive value of 74% and an overall accura
cy of 92%. Conclusion: The serum PSA concentration seems to provide us
eful information with regard to the presence of bone metastasis in pat
ients with newly diagnosed cancer of the prostate. A serum PSA value o
f <10 ng/ml nearly excludes bone metastases, whereas a serum PSA value
of >100 ng/ml is highly predictive of bone metastases.