Pe. Allen et al., WITHIN-YEAR AND AMONG-YEAR EFFECTS OF COLD FRONTS ON MIGRATING RAPTORS AT HAWK-MOUNTAIN, PENNSYLVANIA, 1934-1991, The Auk, 113(2), 1996, pp. 329-338
Cold-front passage has long been associated with south-bound raptor mi
gration in northeastern North America, We used Hawk Mountain Sanctuary
's 55-year database to calculate abundance indices of 14 raptor specie
s at the site. These indices, together with data taken from coincident
al U.S. Department of Commerce daily weather maps, were used to invest
igate the extent to which raptor migration at Hawk Mountain is associa
ted with the passage of cold fronts. Daily abundance indices for 12 of
14 raptor species exhibited significant increases during one or more
of the three days following frontal passage. Three basic patterns emer
ged, which differed in the number of days after frontal passage on whi
ch peak migration occurred. The patterns fit the night behavior of the
species involved. We failed to detect a long-term linear trend in num
bers of fall-season cold fronts at the site. Stepwise multiple-regress
ion analyses revealed that annual-abundance indices were not influence
d by annual variation in the numbers of cold fronts passing the Sanctu
ary at the time of fall migration. Overall, our analyses confirm the r
esults of earlier, short-term studies demonstrating within-year effect
s of frontal passage on raptor migration. Our failure to detect among-
year effects of frontal passage rates on annual counts of raptors migr
ating past the site supports the notion that cold fronts enhance fall
migration rather than simply making the birds more visible to observer
s at such times by forcing them closer to the watch site.