Epaulets of female Red-winged Blackbirds (AgPlaius phoeniceus) vary in
brightness from brown to bright red-orange. We test predictions of th
e hypothesis that condition at the time of molt determines female epau
let brightness and that females in superior condition produce brighter
epaulets. We compared each female's epaulet with a series of color ph
otographs ranked from 1 (dull brown) to 12 (bright red-orange) and con
sidered females to have increased in brightness between years if their
color increased by at least two ranks. More first-year females than o
lder females increased in brightness, more older females increased in
brightness after low reproductive effort than after high effort, and m
ore first-year females increased in brightness af ter a year of supera
bundant food (an emergence of periodical cicadas, Magicicada spp.) tha
n after other years. In each case, we expected an improvement in condi
tion. We estimated female condition and regressed condition index on d
ay of the breeding season. During the breeding season, females that la
ter increased in brightness improved in condition relative to females
that did not increase in brightness. We confirm a previously reported
correlation between age and epaulet brightness, but age does not expla
in the relationship between change in brightness and either reproducti
ve effort or the emergence of cicadas. We conclude that the most likel
y explanation for our results is that condition, at least in part, det
ermines epaulet brightness in female Red-winged Blackbirds and that su
perior condition is reflected by brighter epaulets. Our results suppor
t assumptions of the status-signaling hypothesis and mate-choice hypot
heses for the evolution of variable plumage. The best explanation for
the evolution of variable plumage among female Red-winged Blackbirds i
s that brightness signals status in female-female aggressive encounter
s.