It is frequently stated that the risk of sequelae from hypertension at
a given level of severity is higher among blacks than whites, althoug
h little empirical evidence supports that supposition. In this work we
examined the basis for accepting the existence of a black:white diffe
rential in hypertension outcomes in a representative biracial sample o
f the U.S. population followed in the First National Health and Nutrit
ion Examination Survey (NHANES-I) Epidemiologic Follow-up Study. As we
ll recognized, the risk associated with increasing blood pressure is n
ot dichotomous but varies across the entire distribution in a curvilin
ear fashion. The rightward skew of the blood pressure distribution wit
h increasing mean levels affects comparisons between Populations, sinc
e the change in shape results in a change in the mix of case severity.
These considerations can influence estimates of the relative populati
on-attributable risk from hypertension, considered as a dichotomous cl
assification in blacks and whites. Although the relative risk of death
associated with a systolic blood pressure of greater than or equal to
140 mmHg in this study was higher for blacks than for whites (1.7 and
1.5, respectively), with all-cause mortality as the outcome, the logi
stic coefficient for systolic blood pressure was not significantly dif
ferent among white as compared with black men (beta = 0.016 us. 0.010;
p = 0.320 for race interaction term) and was slightly greater among w
hite vs. black women (beta = 0.013 vs. 0.010; P = 0.05). After strata-
specific blood pressure adjustment, the principal determinant of incre
ased population risk for both black men and women was the higher preva
lence of hypertension, not differential severity. The population-attri
butable risk for hypertension was at least two times higher among blac
ks because of the higher prevalence among them; moreover, the increase
d prevalence accounted for 10% of the interethnic difference in mortal
ity. Data from this study indicate that hypertension was not more seve
re among individual blacks, simply more common in the population.