VAN, CANDIDACY AND VALIDATION WITH THE LATEST LAWS OF THE GAME AND PRECURSOR CANDIDACY AND VALIDATION, THE VAN CASE SO FAR - REBUTTAL TO REPLIES-AND-II

Authors
MULARGIA F MARZOCCHI W GASPERINI P
Citation
F. Mulargia et al., VAN, CANDIDACY AND VALIDATION WITH THE LATEST LAWS OF THE GAME AND PRECURSOR CANDIDACY AND VALIDATION, THE VAN CASE SO FAR - REBUTTAL TO REPLIES-AND-II, Geophysical research letters, 23(11), 1996, pp. 1339-1340
Citations number
7
Categorie Soggetti
Geosciences, Interdisciplinary
Journal title
Geophysical research letters → ACNP
ISSN journal
00948276
Volume
23
Issue
11
Year of publication
1996
Pages
1339 - 1340
Database
ISI
SICI code
0094-8276(1996)23:11<1339:VCAVWT>2.0.ZU;2-F
Abstract
We show that earthquakes in Greece can be ''predicted'' much more effi ciently than VAN by anybody using the PDE earthquake bulletin. Our ana lysis is retrospective, but our scheme can be unambiguously tested aga inst future seismicity. For the period from Jan. 1, 1987 to June 30, 1 992 the rule developed in this paper ''predicts'' 9 of 12 large events in Greece, as opposed to (at most) 4 successes for VAN.