To investigate the natural course of the spinal deformity in Duchenne
muscular dystrophy (DMD) and its clinical relevance, longitudinal seri
es of spinal radiographs and medical records of 46 patients with DMD w
ere reviewed. The natural course of the deformity was classified into
three types; type 1 (n = 21), unremittent progression of scoliosis wit
h kyphosis; type 2 (n = 18), transition from kyphosis to lordosis befo
re age 15 years; and type 3 (n = 7), less deformity without prominent
longitudinal changes. Age at loss of ambulatory ability was not a pred
ictor of type. Neither was the age at which the Cobb angle was 30-degr
ees correlated with the rate of subsequent progression. Because the sp
inal deformity always progresses, we consider spinal surgery justifiab
le in type 1, when a certain strict indication exists, such as spinal
deformity >30-degrees and age <15 years in patients with >35% predicte
d value of vital capacity. In type 2, operation may be necessary in pa
tients in whom Cobb angle will progress unremittently. There is no sur
gical indication for patients with type 3.